class: center, middle, inverse, title-slide .title[ # National Youth Commission ] .subtitle[ ## A comprehensive look at the budget, 2018-2026 ] .date[ ### August 2026 ] --- class: section-divider center middle # Section 1 of 3: The Scale of the Budget ### A small commission, a very large constituency --- ## Executive summary - **NYC is one of the smallest agencies in the national budget** -- the government's sole policy-making and coordinating body for Filipino youth. Its enacted budget has mostly sat between **PHP 120M and PHP 315M**, reaching PHP 315M in 2026. - **Against the country's youth, that is tiny.** With **31.4 million Filipinos aged 15-30** (2020 census), the 2026 budget is about **PHP 10 per young person per year**. - **FY 2025 was extraordinary.** Congress enacted **PHP 632M against a PHP 242M proposal** -- a **+PHP 391M (+162%)** jump that nearly tripled the agency for one year, then reverted to PHP 315M in 2026. - **The surge outran the agency's capacity to spend.** In 2025 NYC obligated only **69%** of its allotment and disbursed just **58%** -- its weakest execution on record. - **Almost everything is one program.** Youth-development policy and coordination is about **92% of the 2026 budget**, and the agency is **MOOE-heavy** (program spending) rather than personnel-heavy. - **One organizational move.** NYC shifted from the Office of the President's cluster to the **DILG (EO 67, 2018)**, alongside NCMF and PCW. --- ## A few notes on the data - **Period:** FY 2018-2026 for the proposed (NEP) and enacted (GAA) budget; execution data (Allotments, Obligations, Disbursements) covers FY 2011-2025. - **Two bases, not comparable.** NEP/GAA figures are **current-year new appropriations only**. The execution figures are DBM's **published agency aggregates, which lump together all available funds** -- new, automatic, and continuing appropriations. Do not read them one-to-one. - **No P/A/P-level execution.** Usable FAR No. 1 records were unavailable for NYC, so absorption is shown only at the **agency level**. - **One reorganization.** NYC's mother agency moved from the **Other Executive Offices to the DILG** around 2019-2020; its two-program structure is otherwise stable. - **Population figures.** Per-person comparisons use the **2020 Census of Population and Housing**, which counted **31.40 million Filipinos aged 15-30** -- the definition of "youth" under RA 8044. - **Expense classes:** PS, MOOE, CO. **Units:** PHP millions unless noted. --- ## One move to DILG, one core program <img src="data:image/png;base64,#NYC_Budget_Analysis_files/figure-html/reorg-timeline-1.png" width="100%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> **With one operating program throughout, NYC's budget is unusually easy to read** -- almost all of it flows through youth-development policy and coordination. --- ## Big picture: small, and highly volatile <img src="data:image/png;base64,#NYC_Budget_Analysis_files/figure-html/evolution-1.png" width="100%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> --- ## FY 2025: a one-year tripling <img src="data:image/png;base64,#NYC_Budget_Analysis_files/figure-html/y2025-1.png" width="100%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> .small[ The FY 2025 enacted budget (PHP 632M) carried a **PHP 464M** core youth-development program (up from PHP 152M) and a new, one-year-only **"Assistance to Youth Individuals and Organizations"** line (PHP 50M). FY 2025 was a national election year; both additions disappeared from the FY 2026 enacted budget. ] --- ## Where Congress adjusts the budget <img src="data:image/png;base64,#NYC_Budget_Analysis_files/figure-html/nep-gaa-gap-1.png" width="100%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> --- ## Which P/A/Ps does Congress augment? <img src="data:image/png;base64,#NYC_Budget_Analysis_files/figure-html/nyc-aug-1.png" width="100%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> --- class: section-divider center middle # Section 2 of 3: Where the Money Goes ### Programs, expense classes, and concentration --- ## Composition by program <img src="data:image/png;base64,#NYC_Budget_Analysis_files/figure-html/composition-1.png" width="100%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> --- ## Composition by expense class <img src="data:image/png;base64,#NYC_Budget_Analysis_files/figure-html/comp-ec-1.png" width="100%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> --- ## The largest P/A/Ps (FY 2026 GAA) <img src="data:image/png;base64,#NYC_Budget_Analysis_files/figure-html/top-paps-1.png" width="100%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> --- class: section-divider center middle # Section 3 of 3: Does NYC Spend What It Receives? ### Budget execution, FY 2011-2025 (agency aggregate, all funds) --- ## Execution over time <img src="data:image/png;base64,#NYC_Budget_Analysis_files/figure-html/exec-levels-1.png" width="100%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> --- ## Absorptive capacity <img src="data:image/png;base64,#NYC_Budget_Analysis_files/figure-html/absorp-1.png" width="100%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> --- ## Execution at a glance <table class="table table-condensed table-striped" style="font-size: 14px; color: black; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"> <thead> <tr> <th style="text-align:left;"> Year </th> <th style="text-align:right;"> Allotments </th> <th style="text-align:right;"> Obligations </th> <th style="text-align:right;"> Disbursements </th> <th style="text-align:right;"> O/A </th> <th style="text-align:right;"> D/O </th> <th style="text-align:right;"> D/A </th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2016 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 101 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 86 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 81 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 85.0% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 93.8% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 79.8% </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2017 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 161 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 151 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 116 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 94.2% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 76.7% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 72.3% </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2018 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 180 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 138 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 134 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 76.5% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 97.1% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 74.3% </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2019 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 215 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 162 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 152 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 75.4% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 93.7% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 70.7% </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2020 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 130 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 101 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 98 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 77.4% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 97.5% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 75.4% </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2021 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 173 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 127 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 119 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 73.6% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 93.6% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 68.9% </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2022 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 185 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 170 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 156 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 91.9% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 92.0% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 84.5% </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2023 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 178 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 161 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 141 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 90.1% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 87.6% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 78.9% </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2024 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 199 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 183 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 171 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 92.1% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 93.6% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 86.3% </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2025 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 323 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 224 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 188 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 69.4% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 83.9% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 58.2% </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> .small[ PHP millions, all-funds basis. **O/A** = obligations to allotment; **D/O** = disbursements to obligations; **D/A** = disbursements to allotment. NYC routinely leaves roughly a quarter of its allotment unobligated -- a persistent absorptive-capacity gap, at its widest in the FY 2025 surge year. ] --- ## For discussion - **1. Is the envelope enough?** At about **PHP 10 per young Filipino per year**, is NYC funded to be a credible national policy and coordinating body for a third of the population -- or only to exist? - **2. Can NYC absorb sudden windfalls?** The FY 2025 surge tripled the budget but only **58% was disbursed**. Was that money well-targeted, and does the agency have the staffing and systems to spend a large increase well? - **3. The one-year Assistance line.** A PHP 50M "Assistance to Youth Individuals and Organizations" line appeared for FY 2025 only. What did it fund, who decided the recipients, and why did it not continue? - **4. Reaching youth everywhere.** With ~92% of the budget in one policy/coordination line, can young people -- especially outside Metro Manila -- see which programs reach them? - **5. What is missing?** Which youth needs -- employment, education, mental health, meaningful participation -- does this budget not reach at all? --- class: center, middle # Thank you ### National Youth Commission #### A comprehensive look at the budget, 2018-2026 .footnote[Underlying data: DBM NEP & GAA documents (current-year new appropriations, P/A/P level), FY 2018-2026; DBM-published execution aggregates (all available funds, agency level), FY 2011-2025. Youth population: PSA 2020 Census of Population and Housing. No FAR No. 1 (P/A/P-level execution) was available for NYC.] <style type="text/css"> /* Styles are defined here (end of document) so the <style> block does not occupy a content slide; a <style> tag applies to the whole deck regardless of which slide carries it. */ .remark-slide-content, .remark-slide-content h1, .remark-slide-content h2, .remark-slide-content h3, .remark-slide-content h4, .remark-slide-content p, .remark-slide-content li, .remark-slide-content td, .remark-slide-content th, .title-slide h1, .title-slide h2, .title-slide h3 { font-family: Arial, Helvetica, "IBM Plex Sans", sans-serif; } .remark-slide-content { font-size: 22px; } .remark-slide-content h1 { font-size: 36px; font-weight: 600; } .remark-slide-content h2 { font-size: 28px; font-weight: 600; } .remark-slide-content h3 { font-size: 22px; font-weight: 600; } .remark-slide-content table { font-size: 18px; } .remark-slide-content .footnote { position: absolute; bottom: 0.5em; left: 1em; font-size: 13px; color: #6e6e6e; } .small, .small li { font-size: 17px; } .section-divider { background-color: #1B4965; color: #ffffff; } .section-divider h1, .section-divider h2, .section-divider h3 { color: #ffffff; } </style>