class: center, middle, inverse, title-slide .title[ # Department of Labor and Employment ] .subtitle[ ## The FY 2027 proposed budget in context, 2018-2027 ] .date[ ### September 2026 ] --- class: section-divider center middle # Section 1 of 5: The Department at a Glance ### DOLE-wide scale, structure, and the shape of the money --- ## Executive summary -- and the FY 2027 proposal - **The FY 2027 proposal (NEP) is about PHP 26B for the department** (excluding TESDA) -- the Executive's **largest proposal since 2022**, and slightly above the FY 2026 proposal (PHP 24.4B). It is *not* a shrinking proposal. - **DOLE is built around one enormous program.** Livelihood and Emergency Employment (**TUPAD**) is proposed at **PHP 16.7B in 2027 -- about 64% of the department** -- and is actually **up** from its PHP 14.6B FY 2026 proposal. - **The real budget lever is Congress, not the NEP.** Every year the enacted GAA lands billions above the proposal -- **+PHP 6B to +PHP 15B** -- overwhelmingly for TUPAD. For FY 2026, Congress raised TUPAD from a proposed PHP 14.6B to an enacted **PHP 25.4B**. - **So the gap between the ~PHP 26B proposed and the PHP 35B enacted in 2026 is the recurring NEP-to-GAA pattern, not a cut.** The FY 2027 scrutiny question is therefore **whether Congress will top TUPAD up again -- and whether proposing it low each year is honest budgeting** for a program the government clearly intends to fund at a much higher level. - **The department was reshaped twice in 2023:** OWWA, POEA and NMP left for the new **Department of Migrant Workers**; **TESDA** reverted to DOLE (covered separately, excluded here). - **Execution is generally strong but uneven** -- NLRC obligates and disburses almost everything (~100% / ~98%); **PRC and pre-DMW POEA lag on cash** (disbursement-to-allotment often in the 70s%). --- ## A few notes on the data - **Period:** FY 2018-2027 for the proposed (NEP) budget; FY 2018-2026 for the enacted (GAA) budget. **FY 2027 is the NEP (the Executive's proposal) only** -- not yet debated or enacted. Execution data (Allotments, Obligations, Disbursements) covers FY 2011-2025. - **Reading the proposal:** wherever a chart or table shows FY 2027, the figure is *proposed*. Because Congress has raised DOLE's enacted budget well above the proposal every year, the FY 2027 NEP is best read as a floor the department is likely to exceed, not a ceiling. - **Two bases, not comparable.** NEP/GAA are **current-year new appropriations**. Execution figures are DBM's **agency aggregates across all available funds** (new + automatic + continuing). Do not read them one-to-one. - **No P/A/P-level execution.** Usable FAR No. 1 records were unavailable, so absorption is shown at the **agency level** only. - **TESDA is excluded** from all department totals and has no section here: it was outside DOLE for several years and only reverted in 2023, and warrants its own briefing. - **The DMW trio** (OWWA, POEA, National Maritime Polytechnic) transferred to the **Department of Migrant Workers in 2023**; their DOLE data ends at **2022** and is presented as pre-DMW history. - **Expense classes:** PS, MOOE, Financial Expenses (FE), Capital Outlays (CO). **Units** adapt per chart (PHP billions for the department/OSEC, millions for smaller agencies). --- ## How DOLE's roster changed <img src="data:image/png;base64,#DOLE_Budget_Analysis_files/figure-html/org-timeline-1.png" width="100%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> **The 2023 break matters:** department totals dip as the DMW trio leaves, so year-to-year comparisons across 2022-2023 mix a structural change with real budget change. --- ## Department budget over time (excluding TESDA) <img src="data:image/png;base64,#DOLE_Budget_Analysis_files/figure-html/dept-evo-1.png" width="100%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> --- ## Composition by agency (GAA, excluding TESDA) <img src="data:image/png;base64,#DOLE_Budget_Analysis_files/figure-html/dept-comp-1.png" width="100%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> --- ## The attached agencies, on their own scale <img src="data:image/png;base64,#DOLE_Budget_Analysis_files/figure-html/dept-comp-attached-1.png" width="100%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> --- ## The department's largest P/A/Ps (FY 2027 NEP, proposed) <img src="data:image/png;base64,#DOLE_Budget_Analysis_files/figure-html/dept-top-paps-1.png" width="100%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> --- ## Where Congress adjusts the DOLE budget <img src="data:image/png;base64,#DOLE_Budget_Analysis_files/figure-html/dept-gap-1.png" width="100%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> --- ## Which P/A/Ps does Congress augment? <img src="data:image/png;base64,#DOLE_Budget_Analysis_files/figure-html/dept-aug-1.png" width="100%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> .small[ Cumulative across FY 2018-2026, excluding TESDA. **TUPAD dominates** -- Congress's insertions to DOLE are overwhelmingly emergency-employment money. The largest cut is **Youth Employability (-PHP 1.2B)**, which Congress has repeatedly pared back from the Executive's proposals. ] --- class: section-divider center middle # Section 2 of 5: Office of the Secretary ### The department proper -- ~85% of DOLE's budget --- ## OSEC: the budget over time <img src="data:image/png;base64,#DOLE_Budget_Analysis_files/figure-html/osec-evo-1.png" width="100%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> .small[ - OSEC grew from **PHP 7.2B (2018) to a peak of PHP 33B (2022)**, and was enacted at **PHP 30B in 2026**. The **FY 2027 NEP proposes ~PHP 21B** -- but, as at department level, this is a proposal Congress has consistently raised at enactment. - The 2021-2022 jump is the pandemic scale-up of emergency employment and welfare programs; the level has stayed high since. ] --- ## OSEC: composition by program <img src="data:image/png;base64,#DOLE_Budget_Analysis_files/figure-html/osec-prog-1.png" width="100%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> --- ## OSEC: largest P/A/Ps (FY 2027 NEP, proposed) <img src="data:image/png;base64,#DOLE_Budget_Analysis_files/figure-html/osec-paps-1.png" width="100%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> **In the FY 2027 proposal, Livelihood & Emergency Employment (TUPAD) is PHP 16.7B of OSEC's ~PHP 21B** -- about 80%. Everything else -- general management, youth employability, labor-laws compliance -- shares the remainder. (For comparison, Congress enacted TUPAD at PHP 25.4B in 2026.) --- ## OSEC: budget execution <img src="data:image/png;base64,#DOLE_Budget_Analysis_files/figure-html/osec-exec-1.png" width="100%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> <table class="table table-condensed table-striped" style="font-size: 13px; color: black; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"> <thead> <tr> <th style="text-align:left;"> Year </th> <th style="text-align:right;"> Allotments </th> <th style="text-align:right;"> Obligations </th> <th style="text-align:right;"> Disbursements </th> <th style="text-align:right;"> O/A </th> <th style="text-align:right;"> D/O </th> <th style="text-align:right;"> D/A </th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2021 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 29,917 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 28,383 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 27,191 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 94.9% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 95.8% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 90.9% </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2022 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 34,982 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 31,004 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 29,554 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 88.6% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 95.3% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 84.5% </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2023 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 31,010 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 27,518 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 25,647 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 88.7% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 93.2% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 82.7% </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2024 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 39,694 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 37,575 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 34,904 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 94.7% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 92.9% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 87.9% </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2025 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 27,693 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 26,389 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 24,941 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 95.3% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 94.5% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 90.1% </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> --- class: section-divider center middle # Section 3 of 5: Attached Agencies ### The five agencies that remain within DOLE --- ## Institute for Labor Studies (ILS) <img src="data:image/png;base64,#DOLE_Budget_Analysis_files/figure-html/ils-evo-1.png" width="100%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> .small[ - The department's **smallest unit** -- a policy research arm -- roughly doubling from **PHP 36M (2018) to PHP 78M (2026)**. - General Management is ~70% of its budget; execution is solid (obligation ~95%, cash ~89%). ] --- ## ILS: P/A/Ps and execution <img src="data:image/png;base64,#DOLE_Budget_Analysis_files/figure-html/ils-paps-1.png" width="100%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> <table class="table table-condensed table-striped" style="font-size: 13px; color: black; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"> <thead> <tr> <th style="text-align:left;"> Year </th> <th style="text-align:right;"> Allotments </th> <th style="text-align:right;"> Obligations </th> <th style="text-align:right;"> Disbursements </th> <th style="text-align:right;"> O/A </th> <th style="text-align:right;"> D/O </th> <th style="text-align:right;"> D/A </th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2021 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 58 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 57 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 55 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 97.4% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 97.8% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 95.3% </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2022 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 67 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 59 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 58 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 88.2% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 97.3% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 85.8% </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2023 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 68 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 60 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 54 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 87.8% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 90.0% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 79.1% </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2024 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 88 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 87 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 77 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 98.9% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 88.8% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 87.8% </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2025 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 104 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 97 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 88 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 93.3% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 90.9% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 84.8% </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> --- ## National Conciliation and Mediation Board (NCMB) <img src="data:image/png;base64,#DOLE_Budget_Analysis_files/figure-html/ncmb-evo-1.png" width="100%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> .small[ - Handles labor dispute conciliation-mediation; grew from **PHP 212M (2018) to PHP 371M (2026)**. - Execution is high (obligation ~94%, cash ~91%); the largest single line is General Management (~39%). ] --- ## NCMB: P/A/Ps and execution <img src="data:image/png;base64,#DOLE_Budget_Analysis_files/figure-html/ncmb-paps-1.png" width="100%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> <table class="table table-condensed table-striped" style="font-size: 13px; color: black; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"> <thead> <tr> <th style="text-align:left;"> Year </th> <th style="text-align:right;"> Allotments </th> <th style="text-align:right;"> Obligations </th> <th style="text-align:right;"> Disbursements </th> <th style="text-align:right;"> O/A </th> <th style="text-align:right;"> D/O </th> <th style="text-align:right;"> D/A </th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2021 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 301 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 275 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 268 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 91.3% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 97.6% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 89.1% </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2022 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 341 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 307 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 302 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 90.2% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 98.3% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 88.7% </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2023 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 337 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 311 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 294 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 92.4% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 94.4% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 87.2% </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2024 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 343 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 316 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 303 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 92.3% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 95.8% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 88.4% </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2025 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 401 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 379 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 376 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 94.6% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 99.0% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 93.7% </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> --- ## National Labor Relations Commission (NLRC) <img src="data:image/png;base64,#DOLE_Budget_Analysis_files/figure-html/nlrc-evo-1.png" width="100%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> .small[ - The department's **labor arbitration body** and one of its larger attached agencies: **PHP 1.1B (2018) -> PHP 1.8B (2026)**. - **A model executor** -- it obligates essentially all of its allotment (~100%) and disburses ~98%. Arbitration of Labor Cases is about half its budget. ] --- ## NLRC: P/A/Ps and execution <img src="data:image/png;base64,#DOLE_Budget_Analysis_files/figure-html/nlrc-paps-1.png" width="100%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> <table class="table table-condensed table-striped" style="font-size: 13px; color: black; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"> <thead> <tr> <th style="text-align:left;"> Year </th> <th style="text-align:right;"> Allotments </th> <th style="text-align:right;"> Obligations </th> <th style="text-align:right;"> Disbursements </th> <th style="text-align:right;"> O/A </th> <th style="text-align:right;"> D/O </th> <th style="text-align:right;"> D/A </th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2021 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 1,736 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 1,733 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 1,732 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 99.8% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 99.9% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 99.7% </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2022 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 1,883 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 1,883 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 1,880 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 100.0% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 99.9% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 99.9% </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2023 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 2,002 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 2,001 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 1,991 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 100.0% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 99.5% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 99.5% </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2024 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 2,053 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 2,049 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 2,038 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 99.8% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 99.5% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 99.3% </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2025 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 2,259 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 2,258 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 2,205 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 100.0% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 97.6% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 97.6% </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> --- ## National Wages and Productivity Commission (NWPC) <img src="data:image/png;base64,#DOLE_Budget_Analysis_files/figure-html/nwpc-evo-1.png" width="100%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> .small[ - Sets the framework for regional minimum wages and productivity; **PHP 209M (2018) -> PHP 357M (2026)**. - Strong execution (obligation ~98%, cash ~95%); wage-policy development is its largest line (~45%). ] --- ## NWPC: P/A/Ps and execution <img src="data:image/png;base64,#DOLE_Budget_Analysis_files/figure-html/nwpc-paps-1.png" width="100%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> <table class="table table-condensed table-striped" style="font-size: 13px; color: black; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"> <thead> <tr> <th style="text-align:left;"> Year </th> <th style="text-align:right;"> Allotments </th> <th style="text-align:right;"> Obligations </th> <th style="text-align:right;"> Disbursements </th> <th style="text-align:right;"> O/A </th> <th style="text-align:right;"> D/O </th> <th style="text-align:right;"> D/A </th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2021 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 278 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 278 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 271 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 99.9% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 97.7% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 97.6% </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2022 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 287 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 286 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 282 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 99.4% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 98.6% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 98.1% </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2023 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 300 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 296 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 293 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 98.7% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 98.9% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 97.6% </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2024 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 302 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 298 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 290 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 98.7% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 97.5% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 96.2% </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2025 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 399 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 391 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 384 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 97.9% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 98.2% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 96.1% </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> --- ## Professional Regulation Commission (PRC) <img src="data:image/png;base64,#DOLE_Budget_Analysis_files/figure-html/prc-evo-1.png" width="100%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> .small[ - The **licensure and regulation body for the professions** -- the largest continuing attached agency, tripling from **PHP 0.8B (2018) to PHP 2.5B (2026)**. - Obligation rates are healthy (~91%), but **cash utilization has been volatile** -- disbursement-to-allotment has swung from the high-50s to the low-90s%, recovering to the mid-80s recently. It is the most variable disburser among the continuing agencies. ] --- ## PRC: P/A/Ps and execution <img src="data:image/png;base64,#DOLE_Budget_Analysis_files/figure-html/prc-paps-1.png" width="100%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> <table class="table table-condensed table-striped" style="font-size: 13px; color: black; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"> <thead> <tr> <th style="text-align:left;"> Year </th> <th style="text-align:right;"> Allotments </th> <th style="text-align:right;"> Obligations </th> <th style="text-align:right;"> Disbursements </th> <th style="text-align:right;"> O/A </th> <th style="text-align:right;"> D/O </th> <th style="text-align:right;"> D/A </th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2021 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 1,949 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 1,422 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 1,249 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 73.0% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 87.8% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 64.1% </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2022 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 2,346 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 2,079 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 1,865 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 88.6% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 89.7% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 79.5% </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2023 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 2,148 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 2,087 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 1,756 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 97.1% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 84.1% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 81.7% </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2024 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 2,110 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 2,052 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 1,845 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 97.2% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 89.9% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 87.4% </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2025 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 2,957 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 2,834 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 2,542 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 95.8% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 89.7% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 86.0% </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> --- class: section-divider center middle # Section 4 of 5: The Agencies That Moved to DMW ### Pre-DMW history (2018-2022) of OWWA, POEA, and NMP --- ## Overseas Workers Welfare Administration (OWWA) <img src="data:image/png;base64,#DOLE_Budget_Analysis_files/figure-html/owwa-evo-1.png" width="100%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> .small[ - **The most dramatic trajectory in the department:** PHP 0.9B (2018) surging to **PHP 13B (2022)** on pandemic-era OFW repatriation and welfare assistance -- before transferring to DMW in 2023. - Welfare services accounted for ~94% of its 2022 budget; obligation ~90%, cash ~83%. ] --- ## OWWA: P/A/Ps and execution (pre-DMW) <img src="data:image/png;base64,#DOLE_Budget_Analysis_files/figure-html/owwa-paps-1.png" width="100%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> <table class="table table-condensed table-striped" style="font-size: 13px; color: black; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"> <thead> <tr> <th style="text-align:left;"> Year </th> <th style="text-align:right;"> Allotments </th> <th style="text-align:right;"> Obligations </th> <th style="text-align:right;"> Disbursements </th> <th style="text-align:right;"> O/A </th> <th style="text-align:right;"> D/O </th> <th style="text-align:right;"> D/A </th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2019 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 1,128 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 977 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 918 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 86.6% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 93.9% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 81.4% </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2020 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 7,249 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 7,047 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 5,020 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 97.2% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 71.2% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 69.3% </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2021 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 18,899 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 18,739 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 18,600 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 99.2% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 99.3% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 98.4% </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2022 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 13,077 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 12,551 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 11,993 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 96.0% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 95.6% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 91.7% </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> --- ## Philippine Overseas Employment Administration (POEA) <img src="data:image/png;base64,#DOLE_Budget_Analysis_files/figure-html/poea-evo-1.png" width="100%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> .small[ - Regulated overseas recruitment and deployment before being folded into DMW: **PHP 0.5B (2018) -> PHP 0.7B (2022)**. - Obligation was steady (~94%) but **cash utilization was weak** -- disbursement-to-allotment sat in the high-60s to mid-70s%, among the department's slowest disbursers. ] --- ## POEA: P/A/Ps and execution (pre-DMW) <img src="data:image/png;base64,#DOLE_Budget_Analysis_files/figure-html/poea-paps-1.png" width="100%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> <table class="table table-condensed table-striped" style="font-size: 13px; color: black; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"> <thead> <tr> <th style="text-align:left;"> Year </th> <th style="text-align:right;"> Allotments </th> <th style="text-align:right;"> Obligations </th> <th style="text-align:right;"> Disbursements </th> <th style="text-align:right;"> O/A </th> <th style="text-align:right;"> D/O </th> <th style="text-align:right;"> D/A </th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2019 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 530 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 510 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 358 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 96.3% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 70.2% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 67.6% </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2020 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 561 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 535 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 381 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 95.3% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 71.3% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 67.9% </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2021 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 595 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 578 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 504 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 97.0% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 87.2% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 84.6% </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2022 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 747 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 678 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 560 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 90.7% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 82.7% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 75.0% </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> --- ## National Maritime Polytechnic (NMP) <img src="data:image/png;base64,#DOLE_Budget_Analysis_files/figure-html/nmp-evo-1.png" width="100%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> .small[ - A small maritime training and research institute: **PHP 99M (2018) -> PHP 135M (2022)**. - Steady execution (obligation ~96%, cash ~88%); maritime training and assessment is its core line. ] --- ## NMP: P/A/Ps and execution (pre-DMW) <img src="data:image/png;base64,#DOLE_Budget_Analysis_files/figure-html/nmp-paps-1.png" width="100%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> <table class="table table-condensed table-striped" style="font-size: 13px; color: black; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"> <thead> <tr> <th style="text-align:left;"> Year </th> <th style="text-align:right;"> Allotments </th> <th style="text-align:right;"> Obligations </th> <th style="text-align:right;"> Disbursements </th> <th style="text-align:right;"> O/A </th> <th style="text-align:right;"> D/O </th> <th style="text-align:right;"> D/A </th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2019 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 107 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 106 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 102 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 98.7% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 96.0% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 94.8% </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2020 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 112 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 109 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 100 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 96.8% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 91.5% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 88.6% </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2021 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 143 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 132 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 125 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 92.0% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 94.8% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 87.3% </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> 2022 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 151 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 136 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 124 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 90.1% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 91.2% </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 82.2% </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> --- class: section-divider center middle # Section 5 of 5: Cross-Agency Execution ### Who spends what they are given? --- ## Absorptive capacity across DOLE agencies (FY 2024) <img src="data:image/png;base64,#DOLE_Budget_Analysis_files/figure-html/exec-compare-1.png" width="100%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> .small[Excludes the DMW trio (no 2024 data under DOLE) and TESDA. Agencies ordered by cash-utilization rate.] --- ## Multi-year execution, continuing agencies (Disbursement / Allotment) <img src="data:image/png;base64,#DOLE_Budget_Analysis_files/figure-html/exec-trend-1.png" width="100%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> --- ## For discussion -- scrutinising the FY 2027 proposal - **1. Is the proposal honest?** The Executive again proposes TUPAD low (PHP 16.7B for 2027) when Congress has enacted it far higher every year (PHP 25.4B in 2026). Under-proposing a program everyone expects to grow makes the NEP a weak basis for planning and debate -- should advocates press for the proposal to reflect the likely enacted level? - **2. Will Congress top it up again -- and how?** Almost all of DOLE's annual augmentation flows into TUPAD. If the same happens for 2027, advocates may have more influence over *how* that add-on is designed and targeted than over the NEP itself. - **3. One program, most of a department.** TUPAD is ~64% of the FY 2027 proposal. Is a short-term emergency-employment program the right center of gravity for the labor department, and is it buying durable employment outcomes? - **4. Is the proposal adequate for everything else?** Outside TUPAD, the proposal holds most lines roughly flat. Are labor-standards enforcement, conciliation, wages and the other core mandates adequately funded, or squeezed by the department's reliance on one program? - **5. Slow disbursers.** PRC and (pre-DMW) POEA obligate their budgets but are slow to disburse. What explains the cash lag, and does it matter for service delivery? --- class: center, middle # Thank you ### Department of Labor and Employment #### The FY 2027 proposed budget in context, 2018-2027 .footnote[Underlying data: DBM NEP & GAA documents (current-year new appropriations, P/A/P level), NEP FY 2018-2027 and GAA FY 2018-2026; DBM-published execution aggregates (all available funds, agency level), FY 2011-2025. FY 2027 is the proposed NEP only. TESDA is excluded (separate briefing); OWWA, POEA & NMP shown through 2022 (transferred to DMW in 2023). No FAR No. 1 (P/A/P-level execution) was available.] <style type="text/css"> /* Styles are defined here (end of document) so the <style> block does not occupy a content slide; a <style> tag applies to the whole deck regardless of which slide carries it. */ .remark-slide-content, .remark-slide-content h1, .remark-slide-content h2, .remark-slide-content h3, .remark-slide-content h4, .remark-slide-content p, .remark-slide-content li, .remark-slide-content td, .remark-slide-content th, .title-slide h1, .title-slide h2, .title-slide h3 { font-family: Arial, Helvetica, "IBM Plex Sans", sans-serif; } .remark-slide-content { font-size: 22px; } .remark-slide-content h1 { font-size: 34px; font-weight: 600; } .remark-slide-content h2 { font-size: 27px; font-weight: 600; } .remark-slide-content h3 { font-size: 22px; font-weight: 600; } .remark-slide-content table { font-size: 17px; } .remark-slide-content .footnote { position: absolute; bottom: 0.4em; left: 1em; font-size: 13px; color: #6e6e6e; } .small, .small li { font-size: 16px; } .section-divider { background-color: #1B4965; color: #ffffff; } .section-divider h1, .section-divider h2, .section-divider h3 { color: #ffffff; } </style>